"Trump warns FIFA it will ‘never be as successful or profitable again’ if Gianni Infantino is replaced." — Prediction Market Shock Event (@Polymarket)
Live Market Reaction & Valuation Curves
Prediction Order Book Depth ($/Shares)
Governance Shock vs Valuation Curve
Entity: FIFA (Gianni Infantino)
Baseline Valuation: $7.50 Billion
Order Book Depth: $1.50 Million
Scenario Controls
Retained Odds (Post-Shock)
88.0%
Replacement Rev Shock
-25.0%
Broadcast Revenue Elasticity
1.25x
Institutional Liquidity ($M)
$1.50M
Historical Shock Presets
Sensitivity Matrix: Retained Odds vs Rev Shock
| Retain Prob \ Rev Drop | -10% Drop | -20% Drop | -25% Drop (Base) | -35% Drop | -50% Drop |
|---|