Historical Scrub Timeline
2024 Election
Margin Advantage
Dem +20
Even
Rep +20
DeSantis Era Policy Lever Focus
Click to inspect legislative driver
All Factors
Universal School Choice (2023)
Tort Reform & Deregulation (2023)
Electoral/Immigration Laws (2022)
COVID Anti-Lockdown Migration (2020-2022)
Miami-Dade County
High GOP In-Migration / Hispanic Shift
Historically a reliable blue stronghold (+29.4 Dem in 2016), Miami-Dade flipped red in 2022 (+11.4 Rep) and expanded conservative margins in 2024.
2000
+7.6 D
2016
+29.4 D
2022
+11.4 R
2024
+11.5 R
Demographic Migration & Shift Simulator
Out-of-State Conservative Migration Rate
+15% baseline
Hispanic & Suburban Realignment Delta
+12 pts GOP
NPA / Unaffiliated Swing Differential
+8 pts GOP
State: Baseline Model Loaded.
Select counties or adjust simulator levers to view real-time counterfactual projection logic.