Situational Awareness Fund Deployment Workbench
D3 Engine v7
Situational Awareness $400M
Deeptech Rebound
Aggressive Bet
Conservative Buffer
Post-Drawdown AUM
$350.0M
Loss: -$650.0M
Breakeven Multiple
2.86x
Required Gain: +185.7%
Private Allocation Ratio
114.3%
Extreme Concentration
5-Yr Target Recovery TVPI
4.48x
$1,569.4M Net Value
Drawdown Recovery Curve
2.86x Needed
Monte Carlo Exit Multiples Density
P(Breakeven) 64%
Fund Recovery Sensitivity Matrix (Target Multiple vs Drawdown Depth)
Drawdown \ Target Exit Mult
1.5x
2.5x
3.5x
5.0x
7.5x
+185.7%
4.48x
Scenario: Situational Awareness $400M Deployment Loaded.
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