14-Day Trajectory Simulation: Rank & Daily Stream Race
Target Bands: #10 (2.95M) • #5 (3.48M) • #1 (5.10M)Milestone Horizon & Threshold Forecast
| Milestone Target | Threshold Required | Status | Projected Date | Cumulative Added Streams |
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| Milestone Target | Threshold Required | Status | Projected Date | Cumulative Added Streams |
|---|
The source initial net growth is velocity over one hundred times entered playlist multiplier. Hypothetical velocity ten with multiplier one gives ten percent; multiplier two gives twenty. Bars share twenty-two pixels per assigned percentage point. The model rounds the previous day times one plus that growth. This is assumed scenario arithmetic, not verified chart data or a calibrated popularity forecast. After a day is calculated, the source subtracts decay fraction times point four from net growth, with a floor of minus point one five. Hypothetical decay two percent subtracts point eight percentage points; four subtracts one point six. Bars share two hundred seventy pixels per assigned percentage-point reduction. These fitted assumptions do not establish actual listener decay or artist behavior. At hypothetical net growth ten percent, daily factor is one point one. On days where day modulo seven equals five or six, an entered weekend value five adds point zero five, giving one point one five. Bars share three hundred sixty pixels per multiplier unit. The actual source condition selects days five, six, twelve and thirteen in its fourteen-day loop. This explains the branch rather than its inaccurate nearby comment. Saved chart/news claims are unverified; full JSON/reset and native first-footer guards preserve source behavior.