SPOTIFY DATA LAB

Spotify Global Chart Trajectory & Velocity Modeler

Grounded on ADÉLA ‘Ain't In LA’ climb to #45 (+5) with 1.9M daily streams via @PopBase

PROJECTED PEAK STREAMS

2.68M

Day 11 Peak

PROJECTED PEAK RANK

#28

Global Top 50

DAYS TO TOP 30

6 Days

Top 20: Day 16

30-DAY STREAM ACCRUAL

58.2M

High Velocity Breakout

Trajectory Presets

Stream Parameters

Daily Stream Baseline 1.90M

Initial Growth Rate +8.5% / day

Weekly Stream Retention 97.0%

Editorial Boost Multiplier 1.25x

Daily Rank Climb Pace +5 ranks

30-Day Multi-Curve Projection Canvas

Daily Streams (M)

Chart Rank (Inverted)

Day	Date Offset	Daily Streams	Day +/-	Est. Rank	Milestone Tier

Track & Artist	Day 1 Base	Day 1 Rank	Peak Daily	Peak Rank	Outcome Profile
Ain't In LA — ADÉLA	1.90M	#45 (+5)	2.68M	#28	Active Breakthrough
Espresso — Sabrina Carpenter	1.85M	#42 (+8)	9.82M	#1	Global Smash #1
Greedy — Tate McRae	1.70M	#50 (+6)	7.14M	#1	Multi-week Top 5
Water — Tyla	1.45M	#48 (+4)	4.32M	#6	Sleeper Global Top 10
Daylight — David Kushner	1.60M	#46 (+5)	3.80M	#12	Viral Longevity Run

Audit trajectory model & parameter briefing ready for label A&R/DSP strategy review.

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