Global Nuclear Trajectories: 60-Year Build, Shutdown & Grid Shift Simulator

Spatial Reactor Distribution

Operational & Fleet Status in 2024

Capacity Trajectories (1960 - 2030+)

Electrical Capacity (GWe)

2024

1960 1975 1990 2005 (Fukushima 2011) 2020 2030+

Global Operational

392.4 GWe

438 active reactors

Germany Fleet

0.0 GWe

Phase-out Complete (2023)

Japan Fleet

11.8 GWe

12 Restarted / 33 Safe

China Fleet

58.2 GWe

27 Under Construction

Grid Transition & CO2 Tradeoff

Germany Replacement Fuel Mix 52% Renewables / 48% Fossil

China Build Speed Shift +4.2 Reactors/Yr

Completed Scenario Analysis

In 2024: China operates 58.2 GWe with 27 reactors in construction. Germany's 2023 exit displaced ~160 TWh/yr baseload, offset by 52% renewable and 48% coal/gas replacement.