Market Shock Presets
Model Parameters
GTA VI Critical Score Expected
96 / 100
Game Awards Jury Weight (vs Fans)
90% Jury / 10% Fans
Blockbuster Voter Fatigue Index
15%
68.0%
GTA VI Implied Win Prob
$0.68
Polymarket Share Fair Price
1.47x
Decimal Payout Odds
Interactive Odds Distribution Curve
2026 Game Awards Contender Matrix
| Nominee / Contender | Implied Prob | Fair Share | Payout Ratio | Market Trajectory |
|---|