Polymarket SIM

2026 AI Model Race Odds

Cash Balance $1,000.00
Portfolio Value $1,000.00
Unrealized PnL +$0.00
Expected Payout $0.00
Probability Trajectory Meta Baseline: 2.0%
Select Outcome Token
Order Execution (AMM)
$
$10
$50
$100
$500
Target Token: Meta
Current Price: $0.020
Avg Exec Price: $0.023
Est. Shares: 4,347.8
Max Return: $4,347.80
AMM Bonding Curve Depth
Benchmark Event Matrix
Your Positions
Outcome Shares Avg Price Value
Trade History
Time Side Token Amount

How AMM Price Slippage and Normalization Work

Read the explanation

In this prediction market, five outcomes compete under a constant sum rule where total market probabilities must always equal one hundred percent. When you execute a buy order for Meta, price impact shifts along the bonding curve. With a liquidity depth of five hundred, buying Meta drives up its unit cost. To preserve conservation of total probability, the automated market maker scales down competing shares proportionally as Meta expands.

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