βš“ Gulf Energy Bypass & Logistics Simulator Live Model

Strait of Hormuz Maritime Risk / Interdiction: 75%
RED SEA PERSIAN GULF GULF OF OMAN ARABIAN SEA Strait of Hormuz 5.2 Mbpd Abqaiq / Gulf Hub Yanbu Terminal (Red Sea) Habshan Fujairah Bunkering Hub Duqm Strategic Port Petroline: 5.0 Mbpd Fujairah: 1.8 Mbpd Duqm: 0.7 Mbpd
Total Seaborne Flow
20.8 Mbpd
Regional Baseline
Hormuz Transiting
5.2 Mbpd
25% of baseline
Active Rerouted
7.5 Mbpd
Bypass Util: 100%
Stranded / Shut-In
8.1 Mbpd
Severe Deficit
STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE EXPANSION Capex: $0.0B
πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¦ Saudi Petroline (Yanbu Hub) 5.0 / 5.0 Mbpd (100%)
Status: Bottleneck (Maxed)
πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ͺ Abu Dhabi Habshan-Fujairah Pipeline 1.8 / 1.8 Mbpd (100%)
Status: Bottleneck (Maxed)
πŸ‡΄πŸ‡² Oman Duqm Strategic Port & Terminal 0.7 / 0.7 Mbpd (100%)
Status: Bottleneck (Maxed)
STRATEGIC IMPACT DOSSIER DEFICIT: 8.1 Mbpd
Total Bypass Capacity: 7.5 Mbpd
Upgrade Potential: 11.5 Mbpd
Tanker Reroute Premium: $18.8M / day
Shut-in Revenue Loss: $648M / day
[READY] Regional Gulf energy transport model loaded. 20.8 Mbpd baseline seaborne flow.
Export Scenario Dossier:

The bypass model allocates assigned diverted flow across bounded routes

Read the explanation

The source baseline demand is assigned twenty point eight million barrels daily. Disruption fifty and seventy-five percent diverts ten point four and fifteen point six. Bars share twenty pixels per million barrels daily. These baseline and capacity fields are source assumptions, not verified real-time exports or infrastructure availability. The source first route has assigned base capacity five and upgraded capacity seven million barrels daily. Bars share fifty pixels per capacity unit. Its allocation greedily takes minimum remaining diverted flow and route capacity before continuing to later routes. These saved route values do not independently verify operating capacity. The source loss expression multiplies stranded flow in million barrels daily by assigned eighty dollars per barrel. Hypothetical stranded two and four million gives one hundred sixty and three hundred twenty million dollars daily. Bars share one pixel per daily million dollars. This is assigned arithmetic, not current economic loss. Full actual JSON/CSV, genuine seventy-five-percent preset and native first-footer preservation remain checked.

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