Chokepoint Parameters
Cape of Good Hope Reroute
Global Supply & Transit Impact
Net Daily Deficit
16.70 MBPD
Added Transit Days
34.5 Days
Overhead Distance
+4,800 NM
Freight Rate Multiplier
2.85x
| Impacted Region | Share | Estimated Deficit |
|---|
Scenario Dossier State
Strait of Hormuz is under total maritime blockade. Primary export routes are severed. Pipelines operating at partial mitigation capacity. Rerouted tankers face massive Cape overhead.
BASE TRANSIT: 20.50 MBPD
PIPELINE BYPASS: 3.80 MBPD
UNROUTED SHORTFALL: 16.70 MBPD