REUTERS INTEL

Gulf Oil Shock Asian Equity Transmission Matrix

CRUDE BENCHMARK: BRENT SPOT | MODEL REV: MACRO-2026.8
Shock Parameters ACTIVE SIM
Shocked Brent Price ($/bbl) $108.20
Baseline Reference ($/bbl) $84.50
Conflict Duration (Months) 4 Mo
Strait Transit Risk Premium 35%
Geopolitical Presets
Crude Price Shock
+28.05%
+$23.70 / bbl delta
Most Vulnerable Market
India (Nifty)
Drawdown: -5.92%
Highest Margin Squeeze
Aviation & Logistics
-18.4% EBITDA
Hedged Outperformer
State Upstream
+14.2% EBITDA
Asian Equity Index Projected Drawdown & Energy Transmission Rate D3 Transmissibility Matrix
Macro Vulnerability Breakdown
Region / Index Baseline Projected Drawdown Imp. Dep.
Corporate Sector Margin Sensitivity
Industry Sector Margin Delta Pricing Power Post-Shock Stance
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