Signal / Silence
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Errors can go quiet without going away.

Route the same 60 claims through evidence and abstention. Watch confidence split from correctness, then see which errors a fluent interface leaves unnoticed.

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Coverage
Answer error
Hidden errors
Calibration gap

Confidence is a display. Calibration is a measurement.

A system is calibrated when claims shown at 80% confidence are correct about 80% of the time. Verification can detect unsupported claims before display. Abstention can refuse the rest. Both reduce visible errors, but neither turns confidence itself into evidence.

complaints = wrong answers × chance the user notices

That is the missing variable in the original question. Fewer complaints can mean fewer wrong answers, better filtering, more abstention, lower notice, or a mixture. This synthetic lab does not claim which one explains the whole industry; it teaches how to tell the mechanisms apart.

Transfer the gate

An AI gives a confident health claim, but two reputable sources conflict. What policy carries the lesson into this higher-stakes setting?

Synthetic educational model, not a benchmark and not a live hallucination rate. Verification-detection percentages are explicit teaching assumptions. High-stakes factual decisions still require qualified sources and domain professionals.

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