GEOGRAPHIC TANKER ROUTING VECTOR
Flow Bottleneck: 35% Open
Strait of Hormuz Primary Lane (21 Mbd capacity)
Cape of Good Hope Reroute (14,000 NM Detour)
Chokepoint High-Risk Zone
Geopolitical Scenario Presets
35%
Iran Diplomatic Signal
Tempered / Gradual
180%
Cape of Good Hope Reroute Bias
Active Force
Logistics & Tanker Fleet Metrics
VLCC Fleet Utilization
94.8%
+8.2% vs Baseline
Cape Detour Vessels
142
Active Long-Haul
Transit Delay
11.2 Days
+2,400 NM Avg Detour
Freight Spot Surcharge
+$42.5k
per day / VLCC
Energy Market & Disruption Impact
Brent Crude Spot
$84.50
/ bbl (Model Baseline)
Lost Hormuz Volume
13.65
Million Barrels / Day
Simulation Runtime Evidence Surface
Initializing runtime proof surface...