Hormuz Shipping Risk Simulator

Polymarket Odds: 22% Agreement
Strait of Hormuz Transit (Primary)
Cape of Good Hope Bypass (Reroute)
Choke Point Escalation Zone
Prediction & Risk Parameters Polymarket Grounding
22%
VLCC (2M Bbls)
Live Maritime Telemetry STABLE TRANSIT
Daily Risk Premium Delta $1.12M / day War Risk: 0.75%
Rerouting Transit Delay +13.2 days Dist: +4,600 NM
Voyage Fuel Burn Cost $480,000 Bunkers: $620 / MT
Implied Brent Crude Spot $86.42 / bbl Baseline: $82.50
Risk Assessment Proof Engine Ready

Simulated Shipping Risk Certificate

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