US Housing Sales & Demand Shock Simulator July -10.5% Shock

Source: US Census / Kobeissi Analysis (607k vs 668.6k Expected)
Reported July Sales
607.0k
-71.2k MoM (-10.5%)
Consensus Miss Gap
-61.7k
vs -1.4% exp (668.6k)
Months of Supply
9.1 mo
Elevated builder inventory
Monthly P&I Payment
$2,160
Req Income: $92.6k
Affordability Index
74.2%
Cancellation Risk: Elevated
Macro Trajectory & Sensitivity Model Baseline Floor: Nov 2022 (582k)
Period / ScenarioUnits (SAAR)MoM ChgMortgage RateMonthly P&IRisk Band
Sensitivity Controls
Scenario Presets
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