Scenario Presets
Empirical archetypes
Policy Levers
Direct tuning
85%
Surveillance militarization, interdiction budgets, wall infrastructure.
75%
Interior enforcement operations, workplace audits, rapid returns.
25%
Points-based admissions, seasonal agricultural & tech visa capacity.
Fiscal Safety Net Access
Strict
Eligibility for municipal shelter, healthcare subsidies, child benefits.
Macroeconomic Backdrop
Tight Labor Market
Underlying economic context affecting wage pass-through & job vacancy rates.
Net Public Approval
-12%
↓ Backlash
Shifted by rapid food/services price surges and family separation controversy.
Sectoral Labor Deficit
+18.4%
↑ Acute
Disproportionately impacting construction, hospitality, and seasonal agriculture.
Wage & Price Pressure
+0.85%
Inflationary
Supply-side friction pass-through to grocery and infrastructure costs.
Partisan Polar Friction
78 / 100
High Risk
Elevated probability of intense electoral counter-mobilization in suburban districts.
System Dynamics & Causal Feedback Loop
Reactive simulation
Hover or inspect nodes to evaluate transmission channels: Border restriction triggers immediate political capital but induces downstream labor bottlenecks, consumer price inflation, and subsequent voter disaffection.
Electoral Cohort Disaggregation
Approval Net %
Working-Class Base
+36%
Suburban Moderates
-24%