Economic Poll Sentiment & Indicator Simulator

Macroeconomic Policy Controls

Adjust underlying macro indicators to simulate changes in national polling sentiment and independent voter swing.

SCENARIO COUNTERFACTUAL PRESETS

CPI Inflation Rate (YoY %) 4.2%

1.0% (Target) 4.2% (Elevated) 9.0% (Severe)

Tariff Intensity Index (0-100) 75

0 (Free Trade) 50 (Targeted) 100 (Universal Heavy)

National Debt Expansion Rate (%) 30%

5% (Disciplined) 30% (Quora Post Baseline) 60% (Surge)

Monthly Nonfarm Job Growth (x100k) 1.5

-1.0 (Contraction) +1.5 (Moderate) +4.5 (Boom)

D3 Layout • Margin of error ±2.8%

Calculated sentiment outcome across national likely voters under current macroeconomic parameters.

NEGATIVE SENTIMENT 67.0%

POSITIVE SENTIMENT 22.0%

UNDECIDED / NEUTRAL 11.0%

NET APPROVAL INDEX -45.0

67.0%

Negative View

Economy Worse / Disapprove 67.0%

Economy Better / Approve 22.0%

Mixed / No Change / Unsure 11.0%

Correlates to historical Fox News & national cross-tabulations.

Cohort & Party Polarization Breakdown

Independent Voters 68.5% Disapprove

Disapproval: 68.5% Approval: 20.0%

Republican Base 41.0% Disapprove

Disapproval: 41.0% Approval: 50.0%

Democrat Voters 88.5% Disapprove

Disapproval: 88.5% Approval: 7.0%

Suburban Swing Districts 66.0% Disapprove

Disapproval: 66.0% Approval: 24.0%