Goodwill Retention
88/100
Coalition resilience: High
Net Surplus / (Deficit)
$930,000
Under 11 CFR § 113.2
Cooling-Off Period
365 Days
18 U.S.C. § 207(e)(1)(B)
Rematch Feasibility
High (76%)
Favorable repeat baseline
24-Month Political Capital & Goodwill Trajectory
Active Posture
Baseline Conventional
Scorched Earth Penalty
FEC Surplus Capital Allocation (11 CFR § 113.2)
Total Funds Managed: $1,250,000📋 Line-Item FEC Wind-Down Ledger
Statutory allocation for campaign termination or multi-candidate PAC conversion.
| Statutory Purpose | Authority | Amount Allocated |
|---|---|---|
| Mandatory Debt Retirement | 11 CFR § 116.7 | $320,000 |
| Affiliated Leadership PAC Transfer | 11 CFR § 113.2(c) | $500,000 |
| Charitable 501(c)(3) Foundation Gift | 26 U.S.C. § 170(c) | $250,000 |
| State/National Party Committee | 52 U.S.C. § 30114(a)(4) | $180,000 |
| Pro-Rata General Donor Refunds | 11 CFR § 113.2(b) | $0 |
⚖️ Statutory Restrictions & Risk Matrix
Federal ethics boundaries and forward pivot liabilities.
18 U.S.C. § 207(e)(1)(B): House members face a strict 1-year prohibition on lobbying colleagues, leadership, or congressional committee staff post-departure.
Primary Risk Factor:
Redistricting boundary shifts; fatigue in repeat cycle
Resilience Advantage: High-spirits concession retains 88% of donor network, defuses opposition research gloating, and positions candidate as an active civic benefactor.