Insider Stock Sale Market Impact Analyzer

Preset Liquidation Cases SEC FORM 4

Transaction Parameters LIVE CONTROLS

Transaction Value ($M) $346.5M

Average Daily Volume ($M) $3,500M

Market Capitalization ($B) $1,950B

Daily Volatility (%) 2.1%

SEC Form 4 Filing Lag (Hours) 8.0 hrs

10b5-1 Pre-Scheduled Plan

ADV Absorption

9.90%

346.5M / 3,500M ADV

Square-Root Market Impact

14.1 bps

Est. Instant Price Slippage

30-Day Drift Probability

68.4%

Prob. Price < Pre-Sale Level

Follow-On Liquidation (90d)

74.2%

Prediction Market Implied Odds

Post-Sale Price Drift Trajectory 30-DAY MONTE CARLO

-- Drift Curve (bps)

Follow-On Sale Probability Distribution KALSHI / PREDICTION ODDS

-- Probability (%)

Mega-Cap Tech Executive Liquidation Benchmarks HISTORICAL SEC FORM 4 COMPARISON

Executive / Ticker	Transaction Value	ADV Absorption	Market Impact	10b5-1 Plan	30-Day Drift

Executive Impact Brief Ready

Calculated via Square-Root Microstructure Slippage Model

CANONICAL ANALYSIS SUMMARY PROOF

Loading calculations...