Intel $15B Stock Offering & Capital Efficiency Simulator

1. Equity Offering Parameters

Baseline Shares (B) 4.25 B

Baseline Price ($) $20.00

Capital Raise Amount ($B) $15.0 B

Offering Price ($) $20.00

2. Capital Deployment Split

AI Fab Expansion 50% ($7.5B)

AI R&D Software 30% ($4.5B)

Debt Paydown 20% ($3.0B)

3. Valuation & Return Metrics

Projected AI ROIC (%) 18.0%

Exit P/E Multiple 20.0x

Market Volatility (σ) 28.0%

Market Capitalization & Accretion Waterfall

Tracing Baseline Cap, Cash Injection, Dilution Drag, and AI NOPAT Value Accretion

Target Price Sensitivity

Post-Offering Price vs AI ROIC and Market P/E Multiple

Prediction Market Accretion Density

Implied Probability Density for Price Target Accretion vs Baseline ($20.00)