Inter 3-2 Napoli: Interactive Comeback & Momentum Timeline

90+1' Second Half Stoppage

Scrub Match Minute (0' - 95'):

🏟️ Tactical Goal Pitch Build-up

Captured Post Fact

Scrub to a key event or press Play to trace each goal sequence from build-up pass to decisive finish.

📈 Win Probability & Momentum Swing

Derived Model

98.7%

Inter Win Exp.

1.1%

Draw Probability

0.2%

Napoli Win Exp.

⚡ Match Turnaround Architecture & Key Actors

Source Verified Events

Napoli Early Double Shock 50' & 53'

Politano 50' (0-1) and Højlund 53' (0-2) stunned the San Siro within 180 seconds. At minute 53, Napoli reached their peak win probability of 91.4%.

Lautaro Martínez Brace 56' & 90+1'

Immediate spark at 56' (1-2) halted Napoli's run. Lautaro capped the turnaround at 90+1' (3-2) to secure all 3 points and push Inter's win probability to 98.7%.

Marcus Thuram Leveler 82'

Equalized at 82' (2-2) after sustained pressure, neutralizing the contest and setting up the grandstand stoppage-time finish.

🧪 Counterfactual Sandbox: Turnaround Sensitivity

Interactive Simulation

Simulate how win expectations would react if Lautaro's first response was delayed or if Inter's second-half territorial control was moderated:

Lautaro First Goal Timing: 56' (Actual)

Inter Attacking Urgency Modifier: 1.00x (Baseline)