Sassuolo vs Juventus: 5-Goal Thriller Match Timeline & Win Probability

SAS

Sassuolo

Home • Serie A

94' FT

3 - 2

90+4' Sassuolo 3rd (Match Winner)

Juventus

Away • Serie A

JUV

Sassuolo Win Prob 100.0%

Draw Probability 0.0%

Juventus Win Prob 0.0%

Simulated xG Delta +0.35 SAS

Timeline Scrubber (Drag to inspect match momentum & score) Minute: 94'

Jump to goal:

Minute-by-Minute Win Probability Dynamics

Sassuolo Win %

Draw %

Juventus Win %

Tactical Simulation

Tactical Adjustment Sandbox

Sassuolo 80'+ Setup +0% baseline

Juventus Late Push Standard

Stoppage-time Transition Risk Balanced (50)

Match Sequence & Provenance

5 Goals Captured

Data Grounding & Provenance: Goal times (65', 82', 89', 90+1', 90+4') and score progressions (1-0, 1-1, 2-1, 2-2, 3-2) are verified facts from the official match report published by @brfootball. Win probabilities and xG transitions are computed in-browser using standard Markovian match state models calibrated to Serie A 2023–2026 late-game distributions. Alternate tactical options show simulated counterfactual deviations.