⚠️ Threat Vector Matrix
Inbound: 48
Wave Size & Frequency
Threats Per Wave
48
Attack Waves Total
8
Replenish Delay (Waves)
4
Swarm Vector Composition
🛸 One-Way Kamikaze Drones
50%
🚀 Subsonic Cruise Missiles
25%
⚡ Ballistic / Aero-Ballistic
15%
🎯 Decoys / Electronic Chaff
10%
Protected Infrastructure Target
Damage thresholds determine critical leakage failure states.
📡 Tactical Engagement Theater & Radar Scope
STANDBY // READY FOR INTERCEPTION
Cumulative Interception Rate
94.2%
Stockpile Exhaustion Point
Wave 5
Cost-Exchange Asymmetry
1 : 4.8
Infra Structural Integrity
88%
📈 Stockpile Depletion Curve Across Consecutive Waves
■ T1 Strategic
■ T2 Medium
■ T3 SHORAD
■ T4 C-UAS
🛡️ SAM Layer Configurator
4-TIER ENVELOPE
Tier 1: Strategic Long-Range (Patriot/S-400)
$3.8M/ea
Initial Stockpile (Rounds)
48
Probability of Kill (Single Pk)
85%
Salvo Doctrine
Tier 2: Medium-Range (NASAMS / IRIS-T)
$1.2M/ea
Initial Stockpile (Rounds)
96
Probability of Kill (Pk)
78%
Tier 3: SHORAD / Point Defense
$180k/ea
Initial Stockpile (Rounds)
140
Probability of Kill (Pk)
68%
Tier 4: Kinetic C-UAS (Autocannons)
$15k/burst
Ammunition Capacity (Bursts)
350
| Wave | Inbound | Killed | Leaked | Def Cost | Att Cost |
|---|
📖 Mathematical Principles of Air Defense Attrition
1. Salvo Mathematics: When firing $n$ interceptors with single-shot kill probability $P_k$, the joint engagement kill probability is P_{joint} = 1 - (1 - P_k)^n. A 2-missile salvo at $P_k = 0.85$ yields 1 - (0.15)^2 = 97.75%.
2. Cost-Exchange Asymmetry: Using a $3.8M long-range interceptor to down a $35k loitering drone creates a 108:1 negative cost ratio. Without low-cost kinetic SHORAD layers, high-end arsenals suffer rapid fiscal and volumetric exhaustion.
3. Radar Saturation Threshold: When simultaneous inbound tracks exceed the maximum engagement channels of fire-control radars, excess targets bypass envelopes unengaged.