US TREASURY SIM

Iran Secondary Sanctions & Trade Chokepoint Analyzer

Enforcement Modeling: Scott Bessent Measure Simulator (BPD & Financial Flow Interdiction)
Enforcement Matrix LIVE PROPAGATION
Select an authoritative policy posture or manually toggle enforcement vectors below.
Percentage of baseline volume reliant on spoofed AIS & dark fleet logistics.
Kharg Island Export Terminal ORIGIN NODE
Primary loading point for ~90% of Iranian seaborne crude exports. Highly vulnerable to insurance and carrier isolation.
Volume Capacity: 1,550,000 bpd Interdiction Risk: High
Crude Displacement & Financial Friction Telemetry REAL-TIME RESOLVER
Projected Export Disruption 920,000 bpd from 1.55M bpd baseline (-59.4%)
Discount Spread Widening +$14.50 /bbl Discount vs. Brent benchmark ($18.50 total discount)
Settlement Friction Index 88 / 100 High capital lockup in third-party escrow conduits
High-Risk Intermediary Hubs 6 Nodes UAE, Singapore, Malaysia, Turkey facing secondary sanctions
Iran Export Origin (Kharg / Bandar Abbas)
STS Transfer & Shadow Fleet Hubs (Malacca/Oman)
Correspondent Banking & Exchange Conduits
Destination Refineries (Shandong / Teapots)
Interdicted / Choked Corridors
Node Breakdown & Sanction Status
Node / Asset Jurisdiction Type Baseline Flow Simulated Status Secondary Sanction Exposure
Audit Manifest Payload
{"audit":"Ready for execution"}
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