Scenarios & Demographics
Camera dei Deputati (400 Seats)
Hemispherical seating arc & threshold line (201 seats)
Majority Status
Governing Coalition
222
+0 vs Baseline
Centre-Left / Opp.
152
+0 vs Baseline
Centrist / Third Pole
26
+0 vs Baseline
Weighted Popular Vote Share by Cohort
Overall & Demographic Splits
Scenario Comparison & Rosatellum Breakdown
Popular Vote vs Baseline
| Bloc | Popular Vote % | Proportional Seats | Majoritarian FPTP |
|---|
Coalition Stability & Risk
Italian Electoral Projection Proof
Current active scenario outcome computed under Rosatellum 3% thresholds and mixed single-member FPTP constituency swing rules.
Gov Coalition: 222 seats
Opposition: 152 seats
Majority Margin: +21