Archetype Presets
🛡️ Pillar I: Security Strategy
Mano Dura Policing / Mass Incarceration
85%
Military Domestic Deployment
80%
Social Prevention & Youth Programs
15%
📈 Pillar II: Economic & Trade Framework
Tariff Protectionism vs. Free Trade
25%
Fiscal Spending Austerity
30%
Market Deregulation & Dollarization
35%
⚖️ Pillar III: Governance & Geopolitics
Executive Power Concentration
80%
Judicial & Press Autonomy Checks
25%
US vs. China Geopolitical Realignment
75%
Baseline Year 0: Latin America average baseline (Homicides: 38/100k, GDP: 1.5%, Deficit: 4.0%)
Differential Projection Mode: Active
Evaluates 6 systemic pillars: Citizen Security, Economic Dynamism, Fiscal Sustainability, Institutional Resilience, Social Cohesion, and Sovereign Autonomy.
Compare your saved policy permutations side-by-side to determine which model optimizes stability vs. growth:
| Scenario Name | Mano Dura | Deregulation | Homicide (Y5) | GDP (Y5) | Fiscal Def. | Rule of Law |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No scenarios pinned yet. Click 📌 Pin Run above to capture configurations! | ||||||
Structural Reality Check
Economist Model
The Populist Dilemma: While hardline security crackdowns yield immediate drops in violent crime and buoy executive popularity, the astronomical costs of permanent mass incarceration coupled with judicial erosion create systemic headwinds for long-term private capital investment.
Key Gains
- Immediate street security restoration
- Surge in short-term public approval
Structural Costs
- Ballooning prison maintenance budget
- Foreign investor rule-of-law risk discount
Transmission Mechanism: Security gains reduce local extortion taxes by 45%, but sovereign debt yields carry an institutional risk premium of +320 bps.