NASA / Commercial

Launch Manifest & Bulk-Buy Procurement Simulator

Ref: Ars Technica Rocket Report
Strategy Spend $498.78M Spot Baseline: $612.00M
Net Bulk Savings $113.22M 18.5% volume discount
Average Cost / kg $13,220/kg Across 37,700 kg stack
On-Time Confidence 88.4% China surge indexed
Reserve Backup Slots 1 Slot Buffer for slips
Launch Manifest Flight Assignment (2026 – 2030) Drag or click missions to reschedule quarters
Active Payload Manifest & Orbit Routing 6 Missions | 37,700 kg Total
Mission Name Orbit Target Mass (kg) Window Priority Allocated Vehicle Class Unit Cost (M)
Launch Vehicle Competitor Cadence Matrix State & Commercial Heavy/Medium Architectures
Falcon 9 / Heavy (US Commercial) High Cadence
Payload to LEO: 22.8k – 63.8k kg
Turnaround: 21 days | Turnkey baseline for bulk-buys
Vulcan / New Glenn (US Medium/Heavy) Ramping Cadence
Payload to LEO: 27.2k – 45.0k kg
Key anchor for NASA multi-manifest competitive sourcing
Long March 10/12 (China State Roster) Surging Tempo
Manned lunar & LEO heavy lift debuts
Drives global market pad crowding and tight scheduling
LandSpace Zhuque-3 / Space Pioneer New Commercial
Methane/LOX reusable orbiters entering cadence
High competition on international commercial orbits
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