10-Yr Taxpayer Outlay
$168.4B
+16.1% vs Competitive Baseline
Redundancy Health Index
38 / 100
High Single-Point Vulnerability
Shock Flight Delay Deficit
18 Flights
~162 Metric Tons Stranded
2nd Source Dev Subsidy ROI
2.8x
Payback ~4.2 Years
10-Year Cumulative Cost Trajectory ($B)
■ Simulated Policy
--- Dual-Award Reference
--- Unconstrained Monopoly
Mission Continuity & Provider Share
■ Primary Provider
■ 2nd Source
■ Grounded / Delayed
Portfolio Risk & Allocation Ledger (FY2026–2035)
Est. Total: 284 Launches
| Sector / Domain | Annual Allocation | Primary Provider | 2nd Source Share | Avg Launch Cost | Stand-Down Risk |
|---|
Congressional / Acquisition Policy Brief
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