Minnesota Senate Primary Electoral Coalition Workbench

Interactive election geography analyzer • Republican Primary: Michele Tafoya vs. Royce White
Scenario Presets
Regional Turnout Multipliers
Twin Cities Metro 1.00x
Suburban Ring 1.00x
Greater MN (Rural) 1.00x
Candidate Profile Shifts
Suburban Candidate Appeal 0.0%
Establishment Endorsement Shift 0.0%
Base Turnout Intensity 1.00x
Michele Tafoya 142,500 59.2%
Royce White 98,200 40.8%
Projected Margin / Victor: Tafoya +18.4%
White +30%
Tafoya +30%
Hennepin County Metro Core

Largest metropolitan vote hub. High suburban participation key to statewide victory margin.

Total Votes Cast
45,000
Tafoya Vote Share
68.0%
Royce White Share
32.0%
County Margin
+36.0% TAF
County Comparison Breakdown
Key Benchmark Counties
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