Reds Multi-Homer Inning Leverage & Win Expectancy Simulator

Tyler Stephenson Game-Tying HR Case Study & Empirical Leverage Index Analyzer
Source: @MLB • Tyler Stephenson 2nd HR Inning

Win Expectancy Swing Trajectory

HIGH LEVERAGE (LI: 2.85)
Win Expectancy 50.0%
Leverage Index 2.85
WE Delta (HR) +28.4%
RE24 Expectancy 0.50
Tyler Stephenson Game-Tying HR Context: In the top of the 8th inning down 1-3 with 1 out, Stephenson hit Cincinnati's 2nd home run of the inning. The solo blast shifted Reds win expectancy from 21.6% to 50.0% (+28.4% WPA) in a high-leverage state (LI 2.85).
Benchmark Multi-Homer Presets

Baseball Diamond State Controller

Click bases to toggle runners on 1B, 2B, 3B
8th
1
-2 (Down 2)

24 Base-Out Run Expectancy Matrix (RE24)

Empirical MLB Standard Table

Export & Report Generator

Canonical Result Proof Surface:
Scenario: Stephenson Game-Tying Solo HR | WE: 50.0% | LI: 2.85 | RE24: 0.50
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