Cincinnati Reds Comeback Analytics

Cincinnati Reds 5-Run Inning Anatomy & Win Probability Model

Run Expectancy (RE24) & Win Probability Added (WPA) Markov Sequence Analyzer
6th Inning Rally Diamond Bottom 6th • 5 Runs
OPPONENT
4
CIN REDS
2
B6 • 0 OUT
WIN PROB
18.5%
1B 2B 3B 2-Run Home Run

PA #6: No. 6 Batter

Result: 2-Run Home Run to Right (5 pitches seen)

RE24 DELTA
+1.44
WPA LEVERAGE
+28.5%
RUNS SCORED
2
Inning Leverage & WPA Shift Markov State Engine
START WIN%
18.5%
FINAL WIN%
90.7%
NET WPA SHIFT
+72.2%
PITCHES SEEN
32
100% 50% 0%
# Batter Result Outs RE24 Δ WPA Score

Counterfactual Rally Sequencing Lab

Compare how clustering baserunners and sequencing extra-base hits compounds Run Expectancy (RE24) vs. isolated run events.

Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super