Live-Fire Exclusion Zone
Commercial Shipping Routes
Active Detour Vector
Exercise Zone Parameters
ZONE A
Active Zone Focus
Exclusion Radius
85 km
Participating Vessels
24 Ships
Exercise Duration
72 Hours
Live-Fire Status
Maritime Shipping Impact
Miyako Passage
+8.0 hrs
1,240 nm (+180)
Bashi Strait
+8.0 hrs
980 nm (+140)
Vessel Detours/Day
142
Daily Fuel Cost Impact
+$4.2M
Polymarket Implied Probabilities
Geopolitical Impact Summary:
Exclusion zones cover 85km radius with live-fire drills active. Expected shipping delays average +8.0 hours across primary regional transit routes. Implied delay market probability elevated to 68%.