Naval Shipbuilding Capacity & Trajectory Workbench Sim 2026-2035

Source analysis modeling The Economist's reported US vs China industrial shipyard capacity gap

US Projected Fleet (2031)
308
Target: 350 ships (+58 from 292 baseline)
China Projected Fleet (2030)
435
Target: 435 ships (Baseline: 370)
2030 Shipyard Output Gap
3.8x
China Annual Tonnage Advantage
US Maintenance Displacement
38%
Drydocks blocked by backlogs
Industrial Presets
Shipyard Levers
US Commercial Drydock Conversion 0.2%
Allied Yard Repair Outsourcing 0%
US Skilled Labor Retention 70%
US Maintenance Backlog Reduction 0%
China Dual-Use Expansion Rate 100%
Naval Fleet Growth Projection Trajectory (2024 - 2035)
China Fleet Projection
US Fleet Projection
Official Targets
US Fleet Composition Breakdown (2031)
Surface Combatants (DDG/CG/FFG) 124
Submarines (SSN/SSBN) 68
Auxiliary & Amphibious 116
China Fleet Composition Breakdown (2030)
Surface Combatants (DDG/FFG/Corvettes) 190
Submarines (SSN/SS/SSBN) 76
Auxiliary & Amphibious 169
Industrial Capacity Diagnostic Assessment

Calculating industrial throughput parameters...

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