Race Projection Model LIVE RE-CALCULATION
CNN PROJECTED WINNER
Stefany Shaheen
Daughter of US Senator and former NH Gov. Jeanne Shaheen
Projected Vote Share
+10.8%
Estimated Lead Margin
74.5%
Precincts Reporting
With 74.5% of precincts reporting, Stefany Shaheen holds an insurmountable projected vote lead of 55.4% based on Seacoast and Hillsborough early vote returns.
Interactive Projection Sensitivity
Decision Desk Model Logic: Projections model outstanding votes across Hillsborough (Manchester wards), Rockingham (Seacoast strongholds), and Strafford (Dover/Durham universities). Absentee vote rates and precinct completion tiers calibrate the final confidence threshold.
County Precinct Breakdown NH-01 KEY SECTORS
| County / Area | Precincts | Shaheen | Opponent | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District Total | 102 / 137 (74.5%) | 34,100 | 24,400 | 58.3% |
Executive Briefing & Export
Export the live Decision Desk analysis including current sensitivity adjustments, county tables, and call validity status.