CNN Decision Desk • Projection Model
Sim Active
New Hampshire 1st Congressional District • Republican Primary

CNN Decision Desk Projection & Scenario Simulator

Real-time vote aggregation model reflecting Anthony DiLorenzo's victory projection following Donald Trump's endorsement. Adjust township turnout, late-vote shifts, and candidate margins below.

CNN Projects Winner

Anthony DiLorenzo (R)

Endorsed by President Donald Trump • Projected winner of the NH-01 Republican Primary

Projected Share
Precincts In
Model Confidence
Anthony DiLorenzo ✓ Projected Winner
53.2%
34,716 votes
Challenger Field Trailing Contenders
46.8%
30,540 votes
Precinct Reporting vs. Vote Share Curve (D3.js)
DiLorenzo Field 50% Line
County-Level Breakdown (NH-01 District Footprint)
County Precincts Rep. Total Counted DiLorenzo Share Field Share Net Margin
Decision Desk Live Briefing JSON
Copied to clipboard! 

        

      

    


    
    

      
Context & Source Verification

      
Primary Source: CNN Decision Desk announcement via @CNN on X: "Anthony DiLorenzo will win the Republican primary in New Hampshire's 1st District, CNN's Decision Desk projects. The businessman and first-time candidate was endorsed by President Donald Trump."

      
District Footprint: New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District encompasses Manchester (Hillsborough Part), the seacoast towns of Rockingham County, and portions of Merrimack, Belknap, Strafford, and Carroll counties. This projection sandbox simulates vote shifts across the district's primary electorate.

      
Research Snapshot: Observed September 2026. Projections are computed mathematically based on county baseline reporting weights, endorsement lift multipliers, and late mail-in/absentee margin adjustments.