Crude Oil $80 Threshold Market Simulator Kalshi ALERT $79.40

Market Signal: Crude oil breached $80/bbl key support. Modeling binary contract: "Will WTI Crude settle below $80.00/bbl?"
Contract & Market Parameters
Crude Spot Price ($/bbl)$79.40
Strike Threshold ($/bbl)$80.00
Implied Volatility (IV)32.0%
Days to Expiry (DTE)14 days
Target Position
Contract Quantity100
Position Payoff & Greeks
Binary Prob (< Strike) 54.8%
Contract Cost (ea) $0.48
Total Capital / Max Loss $48.00
Max Profit (at $1) $52.00
ROI on Win 108.3%
Delta Sensitivity -0.038
Terminal Price Distribution Density D3 Log-Normal Model
Multi-Strike Prediction Market Ladder Kalshi Style Binary Contracts
Strike (Below) Implied Prob YES Ask NO Ask Win Payout ($100 qty)
Export current ladder and risk analytics:
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super