Terminal Evidence Desk & Refined Crack Model
Live Calculation
Brent-WTI Spread
4.9
$/bbl
Brent Premium (+4.78%)
Net Supply Deficit
1.0
mbpd
Unmet daily global demand
Est. Gasoline Crack Margin
28.4
$/bbl
High refinery profitability tier
Market Condition
High Volatility / Premium Spread
Seaborne geopolitical premium detected
Brent vs. WTI Spread Curve & Shock Projection
Brent
WTI
Simulates pricing trajectory over 30 days under persistent disruption.
3:2:1 Crack Spread Product Margin Breakdown
Gasoline
Distillate/Diesel
Estimated net refining margins assuming typical Gulf Coast cracking unit.
Quantitative Energy Balance & Crack Economics
Audited against pinned fixture
| Component Metric | Calculated Value | Standard Equilibrium | Variance / Stress Delta | Implication |
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