DOWNSTREAM ANALYTICS

Oil Refiner Margin & Crack Spread Simulator

Daily Operating Profit $1,187,500 Run rate: ~$433.4M annualized
Gross Margin per Barrel $19.30 Refining yield realization over feedstock
Net Margin per Barrel $12.50 Net after operating & energy costs
Market Status
High Margin / Peak Run
Downstream macro regime

Refinery Economic Parameters

PRESET SCENARIOS
Crude Feedstock Price (Brent/WTI) $78.50 / bbl
Gasoline Crack Spread (RBOB vs Crude) $26.20 / bbl
Diesel Crack Spread (ULSD Distillate) $31.40 / bbl
Operating & Fuel Cost per Barrel $6.80 / bbl
Refinery Utilization Rate 92.5 %
Downstream Model Valuation Architecture
• 3:2:1 Distillate Yield Weighted Realization
• Baseline Throughput: 102,703 bpd nameplate (~95k bpd at 92.5%)
• Net Margin = Gross Realized Margin - Operating Cash Costs

Yield & Margin Decomposition

Real-Time Chart.js Visualizer
Component Metric Price / Value Yield / Multiplier Contribution / bbl
Gasoline Component (RBOB) $104.70 / bbl 45.0% Yield +$11.79
Diesel Component (ULSD Distillate) $109.90 / bbl 35.0% Yield +$10.99
Residual / Heavy Ends / Fuel Loss Discount Factor 20.0% Equivalent -$3.48
Gross Refining Margin (GRM) Refinery Gate Realization $19.30 / bbl
Operating Cash Costs (OPEX) Energy, catalysts & labor Standard Run -$6.80
Net Cash Margin (EBITDA Eq.) Effective Net Margin $12.50 / bbl
Active throughput: 95,000 bpd
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