Statcast Lab

Oneil Cruz Clutch Blast Trajectory & Win Probability Lab

Game: Btm 8th Outs: 1 Out Base: 1 on (1B) Score: Down 2
2D Ballpark Trajectory Physics HOME RUN
DIST: 428 FT | APEX: 86 FT
114.8 mph
24°
-12° (Right)
Statcast Archetype Presets:
Statcast Telemetry & Leverage Swings LI: 3.42
Projected Distance 428 ft Aerodynamic range
Trajectory Apex 86 ft Peak flight height
Hang Time 4.9s Air duration
Fence Clearance +28 ft Wall height: 8 ft @ 385'
8th INNING WIN EXPECTANCY SWING High Leverage (Clutch)
Pre-Swing WE 16.4% Trailing by 2, 1 on
Win Prob Jump +33.6% Clutch swing equity
Post-Event WE 50.0% Tied Ballgame
Leverage Index (LI = 3.42): Erasing a 2-run deficit in the home half of the 8th inning represents more than 3.4× the leverage of an average MLB plate appearance. Cruz's 114.8 mph blast immediately restores neutral parity (50.0% WE).
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