Game State Simulator
Live Model
1st3rd5th7th (Late)9th (Clutch)
Down 5TiedUp 2 (Rojas Spot)Up 5
Win Probability & Leverage Index (LI) Analysis
Live Calculation
Leverage Index (LI)
2.45
High Leverage (>1.5)
Pre-At-Bat Win Prob
81.4%
Dodgers Baseline
Post-Swing Win Prob
95.6%
Lead Extended
Win Prob Swing (Δ)
+14.2%
Clutch Added Value
Win Expectancy Curve & Event Impact (Innings 1–9)
Shaded zone shows clutch win expectancy shift
Dodgers Batter Situational Splits
2024–2025 Contextual Splits
| Player | Overall AVG | RISP AVG | Late & Close | High Leverage WPA | Clutch Index |
|---|
Situational Leverage Insight: Miguel Rojas stepping up in the 7th inning with runners on 2nd & 3rd represents a 2.45 Leverage Index. Adding to a 2-run lead swings the Dodgers' win probability from 81.4% to 95.6% (+14.2% Δ), functionally locking down the late-inning win probability runway for the bullpen.