OpenAI AGI Horizon Evaluator OpenAI 5-Tier Framework

Stress-testing "AGI this year" claims against empirical frontier bottlenecks

OpenAI 5-Tier Taxonomy

Level 3 requires verifiable multi-day autonomy without human correction loops.

Frontier Capability Radar Matrix

Overall Readiness Index: 68.4%
Target Horizon Feasibility: Conditional High-Friction
Projected Attainment Year: Q4 2026 - Q2 2027

Stress-Test Frontiers

Context Horizon (Hours)48h
Tool Exec Accuracy (%)94.5%
Hallucination Bound (%)3.2%
Hypothesis Innovation Index64
Compute Availability (%)92%

Structured Milestone Audit Summary


    
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