SD

Padres 8th Inning Rally & Win Probability Analyzer

Captured FOX Sports MLB Post: "The Padres score four runs in the 8th to take the lead!"
8th Inning Diamond State
Outs:
PADRES 9
-
OPPONENT 11
Top 8th
1B 2B 3B HP
Play 1 of 5
Situation: Padres trail 9-11 entering Top 8th. First two batters reach base with 0 outs.
Win Probability (WP%) & Leverage Real-Time D3 Inning Model
PADRES WIN PROB
22.4%
LEVERAGE INDEX
4.85
RUNS IN 8TH
0
Counterfactual Sensitivity: Adjust Inning Baseline
0
-2
Calibrated against historical MLB 8th inning tables

8th Inning Play-by-Play Analytical Log

Step-by-step win probability delta (WPA), run expectancy (RE), and leverage shifts

Play # Outs Runners On Score (SD-OPP) Event Description Win Prob WPA (Δ) Leverage