Padres Extra-Inning Walk-Off & Sweep Stat Explorer

Interactive Diamond & Scenario Simulator

Padres vs Dodgers (Sweep Game)

Visiting Team 5

Run Differential

TIE (0)

SD Padres 5

BOT 11th

Base Runner State Toggle

Simulate Strategy / Play Trajectory

Extra-Inning Sequence Scrubber 11th Inning (1 Out, 1st & 3rd)

Win Probability & Leverage Index Analytics

D3 Dynamic Timeline

72.0%

Padres Win Prob

4.80

Leverage Index (LI)

+12.4%

Sweep Odds Boost

State loaded: 11th Inning Walk-Off Sweep Scenario. The Padres sit at 72.0% WP with high extra-inning leverage (4.80 LI). Toggle runners or simulate the walk-off hit to finish the sweep.

Ghost Runner Decision Matrix (10th vs 11th Inning)

Strategy	Run Exp (RE)	Win Prob Delta	LI Shift
Sacrifice Bunt	0.94 → 0.68	-3.2%	4.80 → 3.10
Swing Away (Walk-Off Hit)	0.94 → 1.00	+28.0%	4.80 → 0.00
Intentional Walk (Set Force)	1.42 RE	-4.5%	4.80 → 5.25

📐 Extra-Inning Leverage Mathematics

In extra innings, the Automatic Runner on 2nd Base elevates the baseline run expectation from 0.48 runs to 1.07 runs with 0 outs. Because the home team needs only 1 run to walk off in the bottom of the inning, high leverage (LI > 4.0) triggers sharp Win Probability swings for single-base hits vs outs.