Polymarket Defense & Geopolitical Insider Trading Forensic Workbench

Investigation Parameters 154 Wallets

Event Scenario

Max Pre-News Execution Window 180 min

Wallet Vintage Freshness < 24h old

Min Position Size ($USDC) $10,000

Insider Z-Score Cutoff ≥ 85.0

Selected Wallet Inspector

Wallet Address0x3b9...f812

Position Size$45,000 USDC

Pre-Disclosure Lead165 min prior

Funding Relayer0x7a3...c01

Wallet Vintage5.3h prior

Insider Z-Score96.4 / 100

Monitored Cohort

154

High-Conviction Insiders

Syndicate Bridge Clusters

Correlated Pre-News Vol

$1.84M

1. Order-Flow Timing vs Size Matrix T-0 = Official News Event

≥90 Z-Score

80-89 Z-Score

Normal

2. Shared Bridge Relayer Topology Relay → Fresh Wallets

Relayer

Flagged

Organic

Forensic Evidence Ledger Showing 28 flagged wallets

Wallet Hash	Pre-News Delta	Vintage	Position ($USDC)	Funding Relayer	Risk Score	Classification