Forensic Intelligence

Polymarket Defense Intel Trade Forensics

FLAGGED VOLUME
$1,097,000
SUSPICIOUS WALLETS
152
AVG LEAD TIME
41.8 min
FRESH WALLET RATIO (<72h)
88.4%
ASYMMETRY Z-SCORE
4.92 Οƒ
⏱️ Order Velocity & Implied Probability Spike
Showing trade clusters relative to T-0 Public News
πŸ•ΈοΈ Sybil Deposit Hubs & Cluster Graph
D3 Force Layout
πŸ“‹ Triage Wallet Registry
152 Records
Wallet Age Lead Conviction Hub
πŸ” IOC Evidence Inspector
HIGH CONVICTION ANOMALY
Wallet Address:0x7a8...c3b1
Target Market:POLY-MIL-084
Target Theatre:Airstrike Sector 7
Creation Recency:14.2 hours (<24h)
Lead Time Pre-Strike:38.5 mins
Position Conviction:$18,450 USDC
Implied Reprice:18% β†’ 84%
Funding Hub Origin:Relay-Hub-Alpha (Kraken CEX Exit)
Batch Correlation:Co-funded with 18 wallets
Forensic Assessment:

Wallet exhibits extreme asymmetric betting behavior: funded directly via common deposit aggregator <24 hours prior to the defense event, deploying single-sided YES liquidity 38.5 minutes before public defense operational confirmation.

SUSPICION MATRIX SIGNALS
Timing Asymmetry96% (Extreme)
Sybil Linkage Density88% (Hub-linked)
First-Trade Conviction92% (100% Portfolio In)
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