Madoff Split-Strike Forensic Workbench Forensic Terminal v4.8

Analyse Bernie Madoff's options liquidity bounds, synthetic yield anomalies, and cash-flow collapse dynamics.

Parameters & Drivers [CONFIG]
Initial Fund Capital (AUM) $17.20 B
Target Annual Return 10.5 %
Monthly Base Redemption 1.8 %
Market Shock Month Month 12
Shock Redemption Spike 25 %
CBOE Market Collar Capacity $2.50 B
Collar Put Strike Delta 0.15 Δ
Audit Verdict
SEVERE DEFICIT
Insolvent Under 25% Stress Run
CBOE Capacity Ratio
688%
Claimed OTC vs Exchange OI
Fund Insolvency Month
Month 16
Liquid cash depletion point
Phantom Capital Identified
$17.20 B
Unbacked asset discrepancy
1. Forensic Yield Decomposition (24-Month Horizon) Smoothed Ponzi vs Actual S&P Split-Strike Collar
2. Cash-Flow & Insolvency Run
3. Options Market Capacity Saturator
688%

Total Options Hedging Demand ($17.20B) vs Historical CBOE Capacity ($2.50B)

⚠️ IMPOSSIBLE VOLUME: Exceeds 100% of entire options market open interest.
4. Automated Forensic Flag Detector 3 CRITICAL FLAGS
Madoff Split-Strike Forensic Audit Workbench — Executed Results

Simulation complete for Initial Capital $17.20B under 25% month 12 redemption shock.

Forensic Audit Metric Observed Value Threshold Boundary Compliance Status
CBOE Collar Capacity Ratio 688% ≤ 100% Total Exchange OI FAIL (OVER-SATURATED)
Fund Cash Insolvency Month Month 16 > 24 Months Horizon FAILED IN MONTH 16
Synthetic Sharpe Ratio 3.42 ≤ 1.20 Market Collar Max ANOMALOUS (> 2.8)
Phantom Asset Discrepancy $17.20B $0.00 Unbacked Deficit CRITICAL DEFICIT
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super