Prediction Market Liquidity & Implied Probability Simulator

Breaking News Mode
Event Anchor: Kalshi Breaking News — "JUST IN: X head of product, Nikita Bier, steps down"
1. Market Setup
2. Order Simulation
Order Book Depth & Execution Curve LIVE DEPTH ENGINE
Effective Fill Price
44.2¢
Slippage: +1.2¢ (+2.8%)
Acquired Contracts
11,312
Max Payout: $11,312
Implied Post-Trade Prob
47.5%
Shift: +4.5%
Expected Yield / ROI
+126.2%
Binary Outcome ($1 Payout)
Execution Trade Plan
Loading strategy parameters...
Liquidity Shock Stress Test
Spread Widening Delta
2.0¢
Base spread vs shock condition
Depth Sweep Capacity
20.0%
Order size as % of total depth
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