Target Compliance
On Target
In 2-3% band
Quarters to Target
3 Qtrs
By Q2 2027
Interest Burden Delta
+$0.0B
Cumulative Household Impact
Terminal Cash Rate
4.35%
Peak/Trough Horizon
8-Quarter Policy Path & CPI Transmission
Interactive Quarterly Cash Rate Trajectory (Click +/- to adjust path)
Step size: 0.25% (25 bps)
Generated RBA Policy Brief Summary
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Transmission Sensitivities
Mortgage Pass-Through
90%
Pass-through rate of cash rate changes to floating home loan rates.
Policy Transmission Lag
3 Quarters
Delay between cash rate shift and peak aggregate demand/CPI response.
External Supply Shock
+0.0%
Cost-push inflation contribution (energy, supply chains, geopolitical).
AUD/USD Rate Sensitivity
1.0x
Import price sensitivity to interest rate differentials vs US Federal Reserve.
Model Structure: CPI Path = Trimmed Mean Baseline + Lagged Demand Squeeze (Phillips Gap) + Import FX Pass-through + Supply Shock. RBA target band: 2.0% – 3.0%.