Houthi Threat Vector (Yemen)
Direct Route (Suez / Bab el-Mandeb)
Reroute (Cape of Good Hope)
Naval Interception Bubble
Total Voyage Cost
$1,500,000
Baseline $450k + Premium/Fuel
Additional Detour Surcharge
+$1,050,000
Bunker fuel + risk war insurance
Computed Transit Days
29 Days
Baseline: 18 standard days
Added Detour Delay
+11 Days
Via Cape of Good Hope circumnavigation
Simulation Controls
Interactive Parameters
PRIMARY SOURCE DISPATCH: The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ / @WSJopinion)
"The advances by Iran’s Houthi proxies in Yemen and the Red Sea region are raising the stakes of the Iran war beyond the Strait of Hormuz. Will anyone stop them?"
Strategic Implication: Escalation past the Bab el-Mandeb chokepoint forces global container carriers to bypass Suez entirely, imposing massive bunker surcharges and 10–14 day voyage penalties.