INTEL ALERT

Bab el-Mandeb Strait Shipping Risk & Route Impact Analyzer

MOCHA STATUS: SEIZED (Reuters) STRAIT RISK: 88.4 / 100
Standard Suez Route (Via Bab el-Mandeb)
Cape of Good Hope Reroute
Hostility Focal Point (Mocha / Choke Point)
Active Routing Mode Cape of Good Hope (Rerouted)
Strategic Context: Seizure of Yemen’s Mocha brings anti-ship missile corridors directly adjacent to the 20-mile-wide Bab el-Mandeb gate. Carriers diversion around Africa bypasses regional war-risk zones while extending voyage length by approx. 3,500 nautical miles.
Voyage Economic Impact Telemetry SGP ➔ RTM (14,000 TEU)
Total Voyage Cost Impact (Variance)
+$1,650,000
Combined additional fuel expenditure vs. war-risk insurance surcharge
Voyage Transit Duration
28 Days
+10 days delay vs Suez
Strait Risk Index
88.4
Critical ballistic / drone threat
Additional Fuel Expense
$1,200,000
~1,845 MT VLSFO
War-Risk Surcharge
$450,000
0.30% hull value rate
Vessel & Threat Parameters
Low (0.05%)
Elevated (0.15%)
High (0.30%)
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